FNUS72 KTAE 211803
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMP 234...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
203 PM EDT TUE JUL 21 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 EDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSEASONABLY DRY AIRMASS HAS SETTLED INTO THE
REGION. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. FOR WEDNESDAY...THERE MAY
BE A FEW AREAS THAT APPROACH 35 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY ALONG
THE NORTH FLORIDA BORDER...BUT DURATIONS APPEAR TOO LIMITED TO
ACHIEVE RED FLAG CRITERIA. NEVERTHELESS...FORECAST DISPERSION
INDICES ARE HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY...SO THIS WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED CLOSELY. INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS AND RAIN CHANCES
WILL PRECLUDE RED FLAG CONDITIONS FROM BEING REACHED LATER IN THE
WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10 TO 20 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........89 AT IGNITION...MAX 92.
RH..................31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH BY 5 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL
                    BY 5 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING EAST BY
                    5 PM.
DISPERSION INDEX....64

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............89     91     90     86     78     72
RH..............31     29     32     40     58     72
20 FT WIND......ESE 6  ESE 7  ESE 6  ESE 4  CALM   CALM
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (5 TO 10 PERCENT SKY COVER).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING CALM
                    AROUND 10 PM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH OR LESS.
SMOKE DISPERSION....2
MAX LVORI...........8.

$$

FORECASTER GODSEY
REQUESTED BY...THELMA JACKSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090721.COMP2.01/TAE