FNAK79 PAFG 231446
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK ONE-TIECHHOVAN LAKE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
646 AM AKDT THU JUL 23 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2218 AKDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER BRISTOL BAY IS PROVIDING WEAK SOUTH FLOW
ALOFT OVER THE AREA WHILE A THERMAL TROUGH LIES JUST TO THE NORTH OF
THE FIRE. THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON FRIDAY THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL DRIFT
FARTHER NORTH SO THE LIKELIHOOD OF THUNDERSTORMS OR EVEN SHOWERS
WILL BE LESS...BUT MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8400 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 9500 AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LINGAAS
REQUESTED BY...KUDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090722.LITTL.01/AFG