FNAK79 PAFG 231445
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK ONE-12 MILE BLUFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
645 AM AKDT THU JUL 23 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0800 AKDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER BRISTOL BAY IS PROVIDING WEAK SOUTH FLOW
ALOFT OVER THE AREA WHILE A THERMAL TROUGH LIES JUST TO THE NORTH OF
THE FIRE. THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON FRIDAY THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL DRIFT
FARTHER NORTH SO THE LIKELIHOOD OF THUNDERSTORMS OR EVEN SHOWERS
WILL BE LESS...BUT MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 30 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 8400 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 600 FEET AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 9500 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 80.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LINGAAS
REQUESTED BY...LIVINGSTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090722.LITTL.02/AFG