FNUS75 KBOU 231015 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBIT EARS...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 415 AM MDT THU JUL 23 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER UTAH. LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS WILL PREVAIL FOR MOST OF THE DAY. SOME HIGHER GUSTS FROM THE SOUTHEAST ARE POSSIBLE IF WINDS TURN UPVALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM. IF ONE DOES FORM IT WILL LIKELY BE HIGH BASED AND PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82. MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2-6 MPH...GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2200 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 12400-13400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-54. MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 5-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-600 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 2-6 MPH...GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11800-12800 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RABBIT EARS. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/23-03 21 0 47 72 W 8 8 2 1 N22 150 W 8 1054 P 07/23-04 21 0 46 71 W 8 1 139 W 8 975 P 07/23-05 21 0 46 70 W 8 1 129 W 8 897 P 07/23-06 15 0 46 68 W 8 8 3 1 N17 118 W 8 819 P 07/23-07 15 0 48 66 W 7 1 1013 W 8 7462 P 07/23-08 15 0 57 50 W 5 1 1909 W 8 14106 P 07/23-09 15 0 65 39 W 3 3 3 1 NW18 2805 W 8 20750 P 07/23-10 15 0 72 29 W 3 1 6352 W 10 65835 G 07/23-11 15 0 76 25 NW 3 1 9899 NW 12 110921 V 07/23-12 46 10 78 22 NW 3 3 3 2 NW16 13447 NW 14 156006 E 07/23-13 46 10 79 21 N 3 2 13288 NW 14 158225 E 07/23-14 46 10 78 21 N 3 2 13129 NW 14 160443 E 07/23-15 46 10 78 22 NE 3 3 3 2 W17 12971 NW 15 162661 E 07/23-16 46 10 80 21 N 3 2 12694 NW 15 165362 E 07/23-17 46 10 79 22 N 3 2 12417 NW 16 168062 E 07/23-18 42 10 77 25 N 3 3 3 2 NW18 12140 NW 16 170762 E 07/23-19 42 10 74 30 NW 5 2 8271 NW 12 114413 V 07/23-20 42 10 68 38 W 5 2 4401 W 8 58063 F 07/23-21 42 10 62 49 SW 6 6 3 2 NW16 531 W 3 1713 P 07/23-22 42 10 59 55 SW 6 2 418 W 5 1432 P 07/23-23 42 10 56 58 SW 6 2 305 W 5 1151 P 07/24-00 15 0 54 59 W 6 6 2 1 NW12 191 W 6 870 P 07/24-01 15 0 53 59 W 7 1 171 W 6 887 P 07/24-02 15 0 52 59 W 8 1 151 W 7 905 P 07/24-03 15 0 51 59 W 9 9 2 1 NW20 130 W 8 923 P 07/24-04 15 0 50 59 W 10 1 130 W 9 1029 P 07/24-05 15 0 49 58 W 10 1 130 W 10 1135 P 07/24-06 33 0 49 56 W 12 12 4 1 N22 130 W 12 1241 P 07/24-07 33 0 51 52 W 10 1 220 W 9 1634 P 07/24-08 33 0 59 39 W 8 1 289 W 8 1790 P 07/24-09 33 0 66 32 W 6 6 4 1 NW14 358 W 6 1947 P 07/24-10 33 0 71 27 NW 6 1 3219 W 6 15849 P 07/24-11 33 0 74 24 N 6 1 6080 W 6 29751 P 07/24-12 37 10 76 22 NE 6 6 5 2 W13 8941 W 6 43652 F 07/24-13 37 10 78 21 NE 5 2 10227 W 7 63801 G 07/24-14 37 10 79 20 E 5 2 11512 W 8 83949 G 07/24-15 37 10 80 20 E 3 3 4 2 W16 12798 W 9 104097 V 07/24-16 37 10 80 20 E 3 2 12334 W 10 104916 V 07/24-17 37 10 79 21 NE 2 2 11871 NW 10 105735 V 07/24-18 35 10 78 22 N 2 2 3 2 NW20 11407 NW 10 106554 V 07/24-19 35 10 75 25 NE 2 2 7842 N 8 71475 G 07/24-20 35 10 71 30 E 2 2 4277 NE 5 36395 P 07/24-21 35 10 66 37 E 2 2 3 2 W22 712 E 2 1316 P 07/24-22 35 10 63 43 SE 3 2 653 E 2 1499 P 07/24-23 35 10 61 47 S 3 2 594 E 3 1683 P 07/25-00 41 0 58 53 S 3 3 2 1 W24 535 SE 3 1866 P 07/25-01 41 0 55 58 S 5 1 423 SE 5 1646 P 07/25-02 41 0 54 62 SW 7 1 311 S 6 1427 P 07/25-03 41 0 52 65 SW 8 8 2 1 NW17 199 SW 7 1208 P 07/25-04 41 0 51 67 SW 8 1 194 SW 7 1147 P 07/25-05 41 0 51 66 W 7 1 189 W 7 1086 P 07/25-06 52 5 51 64 W 7 7 2 1 NW12 184 W 7 1025 P 07/25-07 52 5 53 58 W 6 1 277 NW 5 833 P 07/25-08 52 5 57 49 N 5 1 370 N 3 641 P 07/25-09 52 5 62 41 N 3 3 3 1 NW10 464 CALM 448 P 07/25-10 52 5 66 35 NE 5 1 2654 NE 2 7161 P 07/25-11 52 5 69 31 NE 5 1 4844 NE 2 13874 P 07/25-12 64 25 70 30 E 6 6 3 4 NW10 7034 N 3 20587 P 07/25-13 64 25 72 29 E 6 4 7153 N 3 19058 P 07/25-14 64 25 73 30 E 6 4 7272 N 2 17529 P 07/25-15 64 25 73 32 E 6 6 2 4 NW14 7391 N 2 16000 P 07/25-16 64 25 74 33 SE 6 4 6977 N 2 11949 P 07/25-17 64 25 73 35 SE 5 4 6563 CALM 7898 P 07/25-18 42 25 72 38 S 3 3 2 4 NW17 6149 CALM 3847 P 07/25-19 42 25 70 41 S 3 4 4286 CALM 2904 P 07/25-20 42 25 66 46 SW 3 4 2422 CALM 1961 P 07/25-21 42 25 62 53 W 3 3 2 4 NW16 559 S 2 1018 P 07/25-22 42 25 59 57 NW 3 4 445 S 2 753 P 07/25-23 42 25 58 60 NW 3 4 332 CALM 489 P 07/26-00 27 5 55 63 N 3 3 2 1 N15 218 CALM 225 P 07/26-01 27 5 53 67 N 3 1 198 NW 2 281 P 07/26-02 27 5 52 69 N 3 1 178 NW 2 336 P 07/26-03 27 5 50 71 NW 3 3 2 1 NW18 158 NW 2 392 P 07/26-04 27 5 49 72 NW 3 1 161 NW 3 431 P 07/26-05 27 5 49 72 NW 3 1 164 NW 3 469 P 07/26-06 27 0 50 70 NW 3 3 3 1 NW21 167 NW 3 508 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...NATE WILLIAMSON REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090722.RABBI.01/BOU