FNUS74 KLIX 221232 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR ONE TEN...BIG BRANCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 732 AM CDT WED JUL 22 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AS A WEAK OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM CONVECTION CURRENTLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA MOVES INTO THE AREA. THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON. OVERALL RAIN DEVELOPMENT LOOKS HIGHLY LIKELY IN THE AREA. THE MAIN CAVEAT WITH THIS RAIN DEVELOPMENT IS THAT IF A STORM DEVELOPS NEARBY...BUT NOT OVER THE FIRE...YOU MAY NOT GET THE RAIN...BUT YOU WILL GET STRONGER AND MORE ERRATIC WIND BEHAVIOR. SOMETHING TO KEEP IN MIND DURING FIRE OPERATIONS TODAY. IF RAIN DOES FALL IN THE AREA...THE CHANCE FOR FOG WILL GO UP QUITE A BIT TONIGHT. THE RAIN SHOULD ALLOW FOR GREATER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH IS MUCH MORE CONDUCIVE TO FOG DEVELOPMENT. AN INVERSION IS ALSO EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT WHICH WILL HELP WITH FOG FORMATION. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........54 60 60 77 77 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............78 81 86 88 88 RH..............76 72 59 55 55 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 3 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 3 S 3 SW 4 SW 4 SW 3 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)1300 4100 4100 5000 5900 MIX HGT (M-AGL).400 1250 1250 1520 1800 TRAN WIND (MPH).SW 10 W 7 W 7 W 3 SW 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 W 3 W 3 W 1 SW 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 50 50 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........77 67 67 67 54 54 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 82 78 76 74 73 RH..............59 69 82 87 90 93 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 S 2 S 2 SW 2 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 S 2 S 2 SW 2 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)5900 4800 1700 1700 1100 1100 MIX HGT (M-AGL).1800 1460 520 520 340 340 TRAN WIND (MPH).SW 7 S 6 S 12 S 12 S 10 SW 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 3 S 3 S 5 S 5 S 4 SW 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 20 20 20 20 .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........54 53 53 53 73 73 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............74 77 85 87 87 87 RH..............90 85 67 61 59 59 20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 SW 2 W 3 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..W 2 W 2 W 2 W 2 SW 2 W 3 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)1100 2100 3000 3000 4200 4600 MIX HGT (M-AGL).340 640 910 910 1280 1400 TRAN WIND (MPH).SW 10 W 13 W 8 W 8 W 5 W 3 TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 W 6 W 4 W 4 W 2 W 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 $$ FORECASTER...PHIL GRIGSBY REQUESTED BY...DAVID DEMEYERE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090722.ONETE.01/LIX