FNUS75 KBOU 240143 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2 UNIT D...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 743 PM MDT THU JUL 23 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST ON FRIDAY. FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AFTER 1200. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM WILL LIKELY BE HIGH BASED AND PRODUCE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 13800-14800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....49. MAX HUMIDITY........66%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH UP TO 4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-600 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0900 UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9400-10400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2 UNIT D. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/23-19 31 10 75 24 E 3 2 8814 N 8 67299 G 07/23-20 31 10 70 29 SE 3 2 4515 E 7 34153 P 07/23-21 31 10 64 35 SE 5 5 3 2 NW18 217 SE 6 1007 P 07/23-22 31 10 59 40 S 5 2 183 S 6 844 P 07/23-23 31 10 56 44 SW 5 2 149 S 6 680 P 07/24-00 15 0 55 47 SW 5 5 4 1 NW18 115 SW 5 517 P 07/24-01 15 0 54 48 SW 5 1 106 SW 6 494 P 07/24-02 15 0 52 52 W 6 1 96 W 6 470 P 07/24-03 15 0 50 54 W 6 6 4 1 NW17 87 W 6 446 P 07/24-04 15 0 50 54 W 7 1 88 W 7 521 P 07/24-05 15 0 50 53 W 7 1 89 W 8 596 P 07/24-06 32 0 50 54 W 8 8 4 1 NW18 90 W 8 671 P 07/24-07 32 0 55 48 SW 8 1 162 W 9 1296 P 07/24-08 32 0 62 41 SW 9 1 234 SW 9 1922 P 07/24-09 32 0 68 36 SW 9 9 4 1 NW15 306 SW 9 2547 P 07/24-10 32 0 73 29 W 9 1 4394 W 10 44705 F 07/24-11 32 0 77 24 W 9 1 8482 W 12 86863 G 07/24-12 50 10 79 22 W 9 9 4 2 NW13 12569 W 12 129021 V 07/24-13 50 10 81 20 W 10 2 13483 W 13 151270 E 07/24-14 50 10 82 20 W 10 2 14397 W 14 173519 E 07/24-15 50 10 83 20 W 12 12 4 2 W13 15310 W 15 195768 E 07/24-16 50 10 83 21 W 12 2 14603 W 15 186615 E 07/24-17 50 10 82 22 W 12 2 13897 W 15 177462 E 07/24-18 42 10 81 25 NW 9 9 4 2 SW14 13190 W 15 168309 E 07/24-19 42 10 78 23 NW 7 2 8990 NW 13 113572 V 07/24-20 42 10 73 28 SW 5 2 4790 N 10 58836 F 07/24-21 42 10 68 35 S 2 2 3 2 W21 591 N 8 4099 P 07/24-22 42 10 64 40 S 2 2 461 NE 6 2825 P 07/24-23 42 10 62 44 S 2 2 331 E 3 1550 P 07/25-00 44 5 59 49 S 2 2 3 1 W20 201 CALM 276 P 07/25-01 44 5 56 55 S 3 1 190 SE 2 384 P 07/25-02 44 5 54 59 S 5 1 180 S 3 492 P 07/25-03 44 5 53 63 S 5 5 3 1 W33 170 S 5 600 P 07/25-04 44 5 51 66 S 3 1 158 S 3 509 P 07/25-05 44 5 51 66 SW 3 1 147 S 3 417 P 07/25-06 65 5 51 64 SW 2 2 3 1 W35 135 SW 2 325 P 07/25-07 65 5 54 60 CALM 1 268 SW 2 635 P 07/25-08 65 5 58 52 CALM 1 401 SW 2 944 P 07/25-09 65 10 63 44 CALM 1 2 2 NW28 535 SW 2 1254 P 07/25-10 65 10 68 37 W 3 2 3512 SW 6 28783 P 07/25-11 65 10 71 32 N 5 2 6489 W 8 56312 F 07/25-12 77 25 73 30 NE 7 7 2 4 W18 9466 W 10 83841 G 07/25-13 77 25 74 29 NE 7 4 9796 W 12 94455 G 07/25-14 77 25 75 30 E 7 4 10127 W 12 105069 V 07/25-15 77 25 76 30 E 7 7 2 4 W22 10457 W 13 115683 V 07/25-16 77 25 76 31 E 7 4 10116 W 14 118962 V 07/25-17 77 25 76 32 SE 7 4 9774 W 15 122242 V 07/25-18 40 25 74 34 S 7 7 2 4 W32 9433 W 15 125522 V 07/25-19 40 25 72 37 S 7 4 6852 SW 13 87874 G 07/25-20 40 25 68 43 S 6 4 4272 S 10 50227 F 07/25-21 40 25 64 52 S 6 6 2 4 W20 1691 SE 8 12579 P 07/25-22 40 25 61 57 S 6 4 1232 S 8 9046 P 07/25-23 40 25 59 60 SW 5 4 773 S 8 5513 P 07/26-00 31 10 57 65 SW 5 5 2 2 NW10 314 S 7 1980 P 07/26-01 31 10 54 70 SW 5 2 264 S 6 1519 P 07/26-02 31 10 53 73 SW 5 2 214 S 6 1058 P 07/26-03 31 10 51 76 SW 3 3 2 2 NW10 164 SW 5 597 P 07/26-04 31 10 50 78 SW 3 2 154 SW 5 574 P 07/26-05 31 10 50 77 SW 3 2 144 SW 5 550 P 07/26-06 31 18 50 74 SW 3 3 2 1 NE14 134 SW 5 527 P 07/26-07 31 18 52 70 SW 3 1 649 W 5 3463 P 07/26-08 31 18 57 59 SW 2 1 1163 W 6 6398 P 07/26-09 31 18 62 49 SW 2 2 2 3 NE 8 1677 W 7 9334 P 07/26-10 31 18 67 41 SW 2 3 4084 W 7 24562 P 07/26-11 31 18 70 35 SW 2 3 6491 NW 7 39790 P 07/26-12 55 22 72 31 SW 2 2 2 3 NE 3 8898 NW 7 55018 F 07/26-13 55 22 74 30 SW 3 3 9292 NW 8 64768 G 07/26-14 55 22 75 30 SW 5 3 9685 NW 9 74518 G 07/26-15 55 22 75 30 SW 6 6 2 3 NW 9 10078 NW 9 84267 G 07/26-16 55 22 76 29 SW 7 3 9906 NW 10 85584 G 07/26-17 55 22 75 30 SW 7 3 9733 N 10 86901 G 07/26-18 55 24 74 31 SW 8 8 2 3 NW13 9560 N 10 88218 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...WHITESELL REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090724.SHEEP.01/BOU