FNUS75 KBOU 242305 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WINTERGREEN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 450 PM MDT FRI JUL 24 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A FEW HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE MAINLY GUSTY WINDS WITH VERY LITTLE RAINFALL. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS WYOMING OVERNIGHT...BRINGING A BIT MORE MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. IN ADDITION...A COLD FRONT WILL INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT ALLOWING FOR THE AN EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ON SATURDAY... THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE BY THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE STORM COVERAGE. THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE MEASURABLE RAINFALL...WITH SOME STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WETTING RAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-70%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-88. MIN HUMIDITY........13-16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE 3-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11200-12200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-57. MAX HUMIDITY........75-83%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTH/NORTHWEST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHEAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81. MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH/NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST/SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH. GUSTS TO 30 MPH NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WINTERGREEN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/24-16 48 10 89 17 SE 9 2 12315 W 5 51328 F 07/24-17 48 10 89 18 SE 10 2 10858 SW 6 49089 F 07/24-18 52 10 86 18 SE 9 9 5 2 W12 9401 S 6 46850 F 07/24-19 52 10 83 20 SE 7 2 6347 S 6 31701 P 07/24-20 52 10 79 24 SE 5 2 3294 SE 7 16553 P 07/24-21 52 10 73 29 SE 3 3 4 2 SW12 240 SE 7 1404 P 07/24-22 52 10 69 32 SE 3 2 235 SE 7 1311 P 07/24-23 52 10 67 35 NE 3 2 229 E 6 1217 P 07/25-00 58 10 64 41 N 5 5 4 2 SW12 224 E 6 1124 P 07/25-01 58 10 61 48 N 7 2 219 E 7 1386 P 07/25-02 58 10 59 56 N 9 2 213 NE 9 1647 P 07/25-03 58 10 57 66 N 10 10 3 2 W14 208 N 10 1909 P 07/25-04 58 10 56 77 N 10 2 233 N 10 1958 P 07/25-05 58 10 55 86 N 8 2 259 N 9 2007 P 07/25-06 70 10 56 92 N 7 7 4 2 NW16 284 N 8 2056 P 07/25-07 70 10 58 90 N 6 2 1024 N 8 7981 P 07/25-08 70 10 62 82 N 6 2 1763 N 9 13906 P 07/25-09 70 10 67 70 NE 6 6 3 2 W16 2502 N 9 19831 P 07/25-10 70 10 71 60 NE 6 2 3180 N 8 20541 P 07/25-11 70 10 74 53 E 7 2 3857 NE 7 21252 P 07/25-12 69 30 76 48 E 8 8 3 4 W24 4535 NE 6 21962 P 07/25-13 69 30 77 45 E 9 4 5021 E 5 22232 P 07/25-14 69 30 78 43 E 10 4 5507 SE 5 22502 P 07/25-15 69 40 79 42 SE 12 12 2 4 W21 5994 S 5 22773 P 07/25-16 69 40 79 40 SE 12 4 5949 S 5 26389 P 07/25-17 69 40 79 41 E 12 4 5903 S 6 30006 P 07/25-18 69 30 77 42 E 10 10 2 4 W24 5858 S 7 33623 P 07/25-19 69 30 75 41 SE 9 4 6175 S 6 32362 P 07/25-20 69 30 72 47 S 8 4 5044 S 6 25261 P 07/25-21 69 30 68 56 S 6 6 2 4 W24 3912 S 6 18160 P 07/25-22 69 30 66 61 S 5 4 2995 S 7 15130 P 07/25-23 69 30 65 64 SW 3 4 2078 S 8 12099 P 07/26-00 58 20 62 70 SW 2 2 2 3 W33 1160 S 9 9069 P 07/26-01 58 20 60 75 W 3 3 853 S 8 6370 P 07/26-02 58 20 58 78 W 5 3 547 SW 6 3672 P 07/26-03 58 20 57 81 W 5 5 3 3 NW18 240 SW 5 973 P 07/26-04 58 20 56 82 W 5 3 259 SW 3 787 P 07/26-05 58 20 55 81 NW 3 3 279 SW 2 600 P 07/26-06 58 10 56 79 NW 2 2 3 2 NW14 299 CALM 413 P 07/26-07 58 10 58 76 W 3 2 752 W 2 2743 P 07/26-08 58 10 63 63 W 3 2 1204 W 3 5072 P 07/26-09 58 10 69 54 SW 5 5 2 2 NW13 1657 NW 5 7402 P 07/26-10 58 10 73 48 SW 5 2 4052 NW 6 18700 P 07/26-11 58 10 77 44 W 5 2 6446 NW 6 29998 P 07/26-12 67 29 79 42 W 5 5 2 4 W 9 8840 NW 6 41296 F 07/26-13 67 29 80 39 W 6 4 9300 NW 6 45859 F 07/26-14 67 29 81 38 NW 8 4 9760 W 6 50422 F 07/26-15 67 29 82 37 NW 9 9 2 4 W18 10221 W 6 54986 F 07/26-16 67 29 83 37 NW 9 4 9991 W 6 51402 F 07/26-17 67 29 82 38 N 9 4 9761 W 6 47818 F 07/26-18 67 23 80 39 N 9 9 2 3 W15 9531 W 6 44234 F 07/26-19 67 23 78 37 S 8 3 7499 SW 6 35798 P 07/26-20 67 23 74 42 SW 8 3 5467 SW 6 27362 P 07/26-21 67 23 69 49 SW 7 7 2 3 NW14 3435 S 7 18926 P 07/26-22 67 23 66 54 W 7 3 2427 SW 5 12870 P 07/26-23 67 23 64 58 NW 7 3 1419 W 3 6814 P 07/27-00 54 10 62 62 NW 6 6 2 2 NW14 411 W 2 757 P 07/27-01 54 10 59 67 NW 7 2 340 W 3 823 P 07/27-02 54 10 57 71 NW 7 2 269 NW 5 890 P 07/27-03 54 10 56 73 NW 7 7 2 2 NW17 198 NW 6 956 P 07/27-04 54 10 55 74 NW 7 2 189 NW 6 999 P 07/27-05 54 10 54 74 NW 8 2 180 NW 7 1042 P 07/27-06 54 10 55 72 NW 8 8 2 2 NW18 171 NW 7 1085 P 07/27-07 54 10 57 69 NW 9 2 740 NW 6 3086 P 07/27-08 54 10 61 60 NW 9 2 1308 NW 6 5087 P 07/27-09 54 10 66 52 NW 9 9 2 2 NW16 1877 NW 5 7089 P 07/27-10 54 10 70 46 N 10 2 3785 NW 6 25365 P 07/27-11 54 10 73 42 N 10 2 5693 NW 8 43642 F 07/27-12 70 32 75 40 N 10 10 2 4 NW16 7600 NW 9 61919 G 07/27-13 70 32 76 37 N 10 4 8089 NW 9 62056 G 07/27-14 70 32 77 36 N 10 4 8578 NW 8 62193 G 07/27-15 70 32 78 35 N 10 10 2 4 W28 9068 NW 8 62331 G 07/27-16 70 32 78 34 N 10 4 8900 NW 8 65098 G 07/27-17 70 32 78 35 N 10 4 8733 NW 9 67865 G 07/27-18 70 40 76 38 N 9 9 2 4 NW24 8565 NW 9 70632 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GARY BATCHED REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090724.WINTER.02/BOU