FNUS75 KCYS 241722 FWSCYS SPOT FORECAST FOR BRANDEL CREEK...ALBANY COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY 1122 AM MDT FRI JUL 24 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1025 MDT ON JULY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...VERY WARM AND DRY START TO TODAY OVER THE BURN AREA...WITH CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING SUNNY SKIES OVERHEAD. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO THE UPPER TEENS. A COOL FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SITE BETWEEN 1400 AND 1600...WHICH WILL INCREASE EASTERLY UPSLOPE WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH. EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT. OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL BE GOOD AS MOIST EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL BE PRESENT BEHIND THE FRONT. TOMORROW WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90 TO 93. MIN HUMIDITY........16 TO 20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 6-9 MPH...GUSTING TO 13 TO 15 AFTER 2 PM WITH STRONGER GUSTS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (26000-74900 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WIND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................2. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 11 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (2500-61600 KNOT-FT). .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1 PM. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74 TO 77. MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................3. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (14200-76300 KNOT-FT). $$ FORECASTER...MAZUR REQUESTED BY...LINN TODD - IC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090724.BRAND.01/CYS