FNUS72 KMHX 241107 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR CAROLINA BAY...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 707 AM EDT FRI JUL 24 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0622 EDT ON JULY 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAINED STALLED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BRINGING A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. THE SEABREEZE WILL DEVELOP AROUND MID AFTERNOON SHIFTING WINDS TO SOUTH AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. THE TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TO THE WEST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK WHILE HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3300-4700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........56 55 54 54 53 53 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 80 84 86 86 86 RH..............90 82 74 65 63 67 20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 6 S 6 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 12 15 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1100-2300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........52 52 51 51 51 51 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............84 81 79 77 76 76 RH..............70 77 82 87 87 87 20 FT WIND......S 5 SW 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6200-6700 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........51 51 51 51 51 51 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............75 77 82 86 88 88 RH..............94 87 74 65 59 61 20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 S 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 10 $$ FORECASTER...KENNEDY REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090724.CAROL.01/MHX