FNUS72 KMFL 251224
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOOTLACES...FLORIDA PANTHER NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
824 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WILL ALLOW
FOR A LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE BURN AREA AS A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE LIES TO THE SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA. ALREADY...SATELLITE
AND RADAR INDICATE WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO NEARING THE COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY
COASTLINE.

INITIALLY...SURFACE AND 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE NEAR CALM TO A LIGHT SOUTH
-EAST TO SOUTH AT 3 TO 5 MPH. BY 12 PM...WINDS SHOULD START TO BECOME
MORE SOUTHWEST AS THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE BEGINS TO TAKE EFFECT BUT
THAT IS WHEN SOME THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE IN THE AREA OF THE BURN AS WELL.
THE SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS SHOULD INCREASE 5 TO 8 MPH BUT GUSTS WILL BE
MUCH HIGHER AND ERRATIC IN DIRECTION AS THUNDERSTORMS PASS POSSIBLY OVER
OR NEAR THE BURN AREA.

WITH RATHER LIGHT WINDS AND INCREASING CLOUDS...DISPERSION IS POOR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............73.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........40     40     60     70     70     70
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
TEMP............77     89     93     92     91     89
RH..............87     60     51     53     54     58
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 2   S 2    S 3    S 3    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 2   SE 2   S 2    S 3    S 3    S 2
EYE LVL WIND G..              5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   2600   5000   5000   5000   4500
MIXNG WIND......SE 2   SE 2   S 5    S 6    S 6    S 5
DISP IDX (LDSI).9      9      24     23     23     22
LVORI...........3      3      2      2      2      2
LAL.............2      2      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............73.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 1 TO 2 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............6.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............73.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...PJ STEVKO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE