FNUS72 KMHX 251815
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAROLINA BAY FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
215 PM EDT SAT JUL 25 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1406 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SEA BREEZE HAS PUSHED INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND MOST TSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF AREA BUT CANNOT RULE OUT ISOLATED STORM
BUILDING BACK TOWARD FIRE AREA. STORMS WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING.
PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........51     51
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............87     86
RH..............66     67
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12     12
HAINES INDEX....4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1400-2300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........52     53     53     53     53     53
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............84     81     79     77     76     76
RH..............70     77     82     90     94     94
20 FT WIND......S 5    SW 6   SW 6   S 6    SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     15     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-6600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........53     54     54     54     54     54
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     77     82     86     88     88
RH..............100    94     79     68     61     63
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   S 7    S 9    S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     20

$$
FORECASTER...MERRELL
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090725.CAROL.01/MHX