FNUS75 KABQ 262040
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR AGUA SARCA...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
240 PM MDT SUN JUL 26 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
PRINCIPAL FIRE WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING FROM THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS. THE CENTER OF THE UPPER HIGH HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO. THIS WILL ALLOW PERTURBATIONS WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT TO TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO...WHERE A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. EASTERLY FLOW
BEHIND A SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT ARRIVED IN CENTRAL NEW MEXICO EARLY
THIS MORNING FROM THE EASTERN PLAINS HAS INCREASED LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE STATE.  MANY LOCALES ARE EXPERIENCING DEWPOINTS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S. EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS FIRST THEN EXPAND SOUTH SOUTHEAST TO INCLUDE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. COVERAGE WILL BE HIGHEST IN THE NORTH WHERE
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE
ELSEWHERE. STORMS WILL BE OF THE WETTING NATURE WITH GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS LIKELY. HAINES VALUES WILL BE RELATIVELY LOW
COMPLIMENTS OF THE ADDED MOISTURE THROUGHOUT THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN.

THE UPPER HIGH WILL MIGRATE TO SRN CA/SW AZ TOMORROW AND POSSIBLY
EVEN FURTHER SOUTH INTO OLD MEXICO AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKES
RESIDENCE IN THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. THIS WILL KEEP STRONG NORTH
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION...ALLOWING FOR DECENT
PRECIPITATION CHANCES. ANOTHER SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL RECHARGE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE TUE/TUE NIGHT AS IT SLIDES SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT
RANGE. CANYON BREEZES ARE EXPECTED EACH EVENING...HOWEVER STRONGEST
PUSH MAY OCCUR TUE NIGHT AS FRONT SQUEEZES THROUGH THE CENTRAL MTS.
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS WEEK WILL BE NEAR NORMAL IN WRN/CENTRAL NM
WITH BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS IN THE NE/EC PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT
IN AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES ABOVE 15 PCT COUPLED WITH MODERATE/EXCELLENT
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.


   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
                       PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......50 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52-56.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 87-92 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9
                       MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                       EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74-78.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 37-42 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........TERRAIN DOMINATED LESS THAN 8 MPH BECOMING
                       WEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 9 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....FAIR/54000 KNOT-FT.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...01

$$

REQUESTED BY...637
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090726.AGUAS.01/ABQ