FNUS75 KABQ 261831
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH MOUNTAIN...NM STATE FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1231 PM MDT SUN JUL 26 2009

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...
PRINCIPAL FIRE WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WILL BE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING FROM THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
THE CENTER OF THE UPPER HIGH HAS MOVED INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING.
THIS WILL ALLOW PERTURBATIONS WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO TRACK ACROSS
NORTHERN AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO. EASTERLY FLOW BEHIND A SURFACE BOUNDARY
THAT ARRIVED FROM THE EASTERN PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING HAS INCREASED
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE STATE.  MANY LOCALES ARE EXPERIENCING
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MIDDLE 60S. EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP FIRST WITHIN THE NORTHERN AND WEST
CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THEN EXPAND SOUTH SOUTHEAST TO INCLUDE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO. COVERAGE WILL BE HIGHEST IN THE NORTH WHERE NUMEROUS
STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE ELSEWHERE. STORMS WILL BE
OF THE WETTING NATURE WITH GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS LIKELY. HAINES VALUES WILL
BE RELATIVELY LOW COMPLIMENTS OF THE ADDED MOISTURE THROUGHOUT THE
ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN.

UPPER HIGH WILL MIGRATE TO SRN CA/SW AZ BY MON AND POSSIBLY EVEN
FURTHER SOUTH AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH TAKES RESIDENCE IN THE CENTRAL
UNITED STATES. THIS WILL KEEP STRONG N/NW FLOW ACROSS THE REGION...
ALLOWING FOR DECENT PCPN CHANCES. A SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL RECHARGE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TUE/TUE NIGHT AS IT SLIDES SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT
RANGE. CANYON BREEZES ARE EXPECTED EACH EVENING...HOWEVER STRONGEST
PUSH MAY OCCUR TUE NIGHT AS FRONT SQUEEZES THROUGH THE CENTRAL MTS.
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS WEEK WILL BE NEAR NORMAL IN WRN/CENTRAL NM
WITH BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS IN THE NE/EC PLAINS. THIS WILL RESULT
IN AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES ABOVE 15 PCT COUPLED WITH MODERATE/EXCELLENT
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES.

   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                       THUNDERSTORMS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......40 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55-59.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 78-83 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

FOR MONDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76-80.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 36-41 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 KNOTS.
   VENTILATION CAT.....GOOD/80000 KNOT-FT.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...01

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090726.SOUTH.01/ABQ