FNUS75 KBOU 261549 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR WINTERSTEEN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 949 AM MDT SUN JUL 26 2009 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TODAY WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY GIVEN THE REDUCED SKY COVER THIS MORNING. AFTER NOON...THAT CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AND REMAIN THROUGH THE EVENING. WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES...MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE MID 40 PERCENT RANGE. ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FIRE TODAY. IF ONE DOES PASS OVER...LIGHT UPPER LEVEL WINDS WILL ALLOW THE STORMS MOTION TO BE SLOW AND THEREFORE ABLE TO PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAINS. BEST TIME FOR STORMS WILL BE 1300-1800 THEN SKIES START CLEARING. A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS AIRMASS STAYS MOIST. MONDAY DAYTIME WILL BE A REPEAT OF TODAY...HOWEVER A SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BRING QUITE A BIT MORE RAIN AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-79. MIN HUMIDITY........42-46%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 8-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8400-9400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....54. MAX HUMIDITY........84%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST AROUND 8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 200-400 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 8-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 9800-10800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200. NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200... THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WINTERSTEEN. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/26-09 50 18 68 63 W 7 7 2 3 NW 6 3832 N 5 14485 P 07/26-10 50 18 71 56 W 7 3 5028 N 5 20528 P 07/26-11 50 18 74 52 W 8 3 6223 N 5 26572 P 07/26-12 71 32 77 49 NW 8 8 2 4 N 7 7419 N 5 32615 P 07/26-13 71 32 77 46 NE 8 4 8166 N 5 33849 P 07/26-14 71 32 78 43 SE 9 4 8913 NE 5 35082 P 07/26-15 71 32 79 42 SE 9 9 3 4 N 7 9660 NE 5 36315 P 07/26-16 71 32 79 42 SE 9 4 9354 NE 3 29433 P 07/26-17 71 32 79 42 S 8 4 9047 NE 2 22552 P 07/26-18 70 22 78 44 S 7 7 3 3 CALM 8741 E 2 15670 P 07/26-19 70 22 77 46 SE 7 3 5972 E 3 11325 P 07/26-20 70 22 74 51 SE 6 3 3204 SE 6 6979 P 07/26-21 70 10 69 59 SE 6 6 2 2 W 6 435 SE 7 2634 P 07/26-22 70 10 67 64 S 5 2 355 S 6 2003 P 07/26-23 70 10 65 68 S 3 2 275 S 6 1372 P 07/27-00 56 10 62 73 S 2 2 3 1 W 6 194 S 5 741 P 07/27-01 56 10 60 78 SW 2 1 175 S 5 626 P 07/27-02 56 10 58 82 W 3 1 155 W 3 510 P 07/27-03 56 10 57 84 W 5 5 3 1 NW 6 135 W 3 394 P 07/27-04 56 10 56 84 W 6 1 132 W 5 527 P 07/27-05 56 10 56 82 W 8 1 129 W 6 660 P 07/27-06 51 10 56 80 W 9 9 3 1 NW10 126 W 7 793 P 07/27-07 51 10 58 79 W 7 1 1286 W 7 6326 P 07/27-08 51 10 63 69 SW 5 1 2446 NW 6 11860 P 07/27-09 51 10 68 58 SW 2 2 3 1 NW12 3605 NW 6 17393 P 07/27-10 51 10 72 48 S 2 1 5534 NW 7 41057 F 07/27-11 51 10 75 39 SE 3 1 7464 NW 9 64721 G 07/27-12 83 35 77 32 E 5 5 3 4 NW15 9393 NW 10 88385 G 07/27-13 83 35 79 30 E 6 4 9990 NW 9 80726 G 07/27-14 83 35 80 29 SE 6 4 10587 NW 8 73067 G 07/27-15 83 35 81 28 SE 7 7 3 4 NW12 11184 NW 7 65407 G 07/27-16 83 35 81 28 SE 7 4 10546 W 6 54456 F 07/27-17 83 35 80 29 S 7 4 9909 SW 5 43505 F 07/27-18 89 51 79 30 S 6 6 3 4 NW28 4681 SW 7 29643 P 07/27-19 89 51 76 33 SE 6 4 3212 S 7 20199 P 07/27-20 89 51 72 38 E 6 4 1744 E 6 10755 P 07/27-21 89 51 68 45 NE 5 5 3 4 NW26 275 NE 6 1312 P 07/27-22 89 51 65 49 N 7 4 462 NE 9 5177 P 07/27-23 89 51 63 53 N 10 4 648 N 14 9042 P 07/28-00 98 46 60 57 NW 13 13 3 1 W23 835 N 17 12907 P 07/28-01 98 46 57 63 N 10 1 740 N 15 9935 P 07/28-02 98 46 56 67 N 9 1 644 N 12 6964 P 07/28-03 98 46 54 71 N 7 7 3 1 W37 549 N 8 3992 P 07/28-04 98 46 53 73 N 6 1 557 N 8 3692 P 07/28-05 98 46 53 72 NE 5 1 565 NE 7 3391 P 07/28-06 92 40 53 71 NE 5 5 2 1 W41 572 NE 6 3091 P 07/28-07 92 40 55 68 NE 5 1 1680 N 9 18028 P 07/28-08 92 40 57 65 N 6 1 2788 N 12 32965 P 07/28-09 92 40 60 59 N 7 7 2 1 W39 3896 NW 14 47902 F 07/28-10 92 40 63 54 N 8 1 4875 NW 12 44311 F 07/28-11 92 40 65 50 NE 10 1 5853 NW 9 40720 F 07/28-12 73 31 67 47 NE 12 12 2 4 W37 6831 NW 6 37129 P 07/28-13 73 31 68 45 E 10 4 7085 NW 6 35276 P 07/28-14 73 31 69 44 E 9 4 7339 W 6 33423 P 07/28-15 73 31 69 43 SE 8 8 2 4 W38 7592 W 5 31569 P 07/28-16 73 31 69 41 SE 8 4 7334 W 5 29972 P 07/28-17 73 31 69 40 SE 8 4 7075 SW 5 28375 P 07/28-18 66 32 68 41 SE 8 8 2 4 W32 6816 SW 5 26778 P 07/28-19 66 32 66 44 SE 8 4 5842 S 7 29778 P 07/28-20 66 32 63 50 SE 8 4 4868 S 8 32778 P 07/28-21 66 32 59 57 SE 9 9 2 4 W29 3893 S 10 35778 P 07/28-22 66 32 57 61 SE 8 4 3210 S 10 28937 P 07/28-23 66 32 55 65 SE 7 4 2527 S 10 22096 P 07/29-00 62 37 53 70 SE 6 6 2 1 W26 1844 S 9 15255 P 07/29-01 62 37 51 74 SE 5 1 1477 S 9 11721 P 07/29-02 62 37 50 77 SE 3 1 1111 S 8 8187 P 07/29-03 62 37 49 79 SE 3 3 2 1 NW26 744 S 7 4653 P 07/29-04 62 37 48 80 S 2 1 674 S 6 3563 P 07/29-05 62 37 48 79 SW 2 1 604 S 5 2472 P 07/29-06 62 37 48 78 CALM 1 2 1 NW28 534 S 3 1382 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090726.WINTE.01/BOU