FNUS74 KEPZ 281644
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ELK FIRE...NMLNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1044 AM MDT TUE JUL 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1022 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FAIRLY MOIST UNSTABLE AIR WILL FLOW INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN
TEXAS FROM THE SOUTH TODAY WHILE A MINOR UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE
REGION.
THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. MEANWHILE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PERSIST
AND BRING CONTINUED HOT TEMPERATURES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-70 PERCENT) SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE.



.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). RISK MAINLY AFTN/EVNG
                    SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.
CWR.................10-20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.



$$


FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...NMADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090728.ELKFI.01/EPZ