FNUS75 KGJT 281340
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
740 AM MDT TUE JUL 28 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COOL FRONT PUSHED INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO LAST
NIGHT AND WAS LIKELY OVER WEST CENTRAL COLORADO THIS MORNING...ALTHOUGH
IT HAS PRETTY MUCH DISSIPATED. GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
STILL PREVAIL TODAY. THE GRADIENT WINDS LOOK STRONG ENOUGH TO MIX
DOWN TO THE SURFACE WITH AFTERNOON HEATING FOR SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 10 MPH OR GREATER THIS AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT SWEEPS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING
COOLER TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY. AFTERNOON GRADIENT WINDS DIMINISH
ON FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE EACH AFTERNOON WITH LOWERING RH. MOISTURE
REMAINS MARGINAL. THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EAST BY MONDAY...OPENING
THE DOOR FOR MONSOONAL MOISTURE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300 BUT PRODUCING UNDER .10 INCH
                    RAINFALL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST (DOWNVALLEY) 2-5 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 9-13 MPH
                    AFTER 1200. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE OVER RIDGETOPS.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. BECOMING EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 17 MPH
                    AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR AS THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION SETS UP QUICKLY.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON BUT
                    PRODUCING LITTLE RAINFALL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10-15 MPH
                    AFTER 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. BECOMING EXCELLENT
                    BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL LBY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPN UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST 17 MPH.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HIGHS 65-70. MIN RH 30-35% NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 70-75.
MIN RH 22-27%. AFTERNOON WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 72-77.
MIN RH 20-25% AFTERNOON WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY/JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...J CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090728.TAYLO.01/GJT