FNAK79 PAFG 301432
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK 285
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
632 AM AKDT THU JUL 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2245 AKDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT CENTERED OVER THE YUKON
TERRITORY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND SHIFT A LITTLE
TO THE EAST THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS SHIFT OF THE RIDGE POSITION
WILL ALLOW COOLER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE FIRE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND MOVE TO THE CENTRAL BROOKS RANGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING EAST 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS AROUND 65.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 45. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 45. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...AYCOCK
REQUESTED BY...WILLIE BRANSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090729.BEARC.02/AFG