FNUS73 KAPX 291115
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JIMNY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
715 AM EDT WED JUL 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 EDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AT UPPER LEVELS WILL
FLATTEN OUT TODAY ALLOWING WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE TO BUILD
IN LATER TODAY AND HOLD ON THROUGH TONIGHT. WEST OF 6 TO 8 MPH
WILL BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT. EXPECT EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL THIS
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5800-6700 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (800).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

$$
FORECASTER...ANDREW SULLIVAN
REQUESTED BY...BSTEARNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090729.JIMNY.01/APX