FNUS75 KGJT 290704
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS GUNNISON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
104 AM MDT WED JUL 29 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT REMAINS IN CONTROL THROUGH
FRIDAY. A DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH NORTHERN COLORADO WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON BRINGING INCREASED GRADIENT WINDS AND CHANCES OF STORMS.
THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION WILL BE SLOW TO SETUP WEDNESDAY EVENING.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON HEATING WILL BE THE MAIN TRIGGER FOR POTENTIAL
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS...WITH LESS COVERAGE EXPECTED THAN ON
THURSDAY.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE. AFTER 1200 WEST 8-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. BECOMING EXCELLENT
                    BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 19 MPH BY 1300.

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2200...BECOMING POOR BY 2400.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING...
                    TRANSITIONING TO WEST 7-13 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20-25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...BECOMING EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX OF 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THE
                    NORTHWEST 15 MPH BY 1200.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 37-43.
HIGHS 73-78. WEST WINDS 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 40-46.
HIGHS 76-81. WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 44-48.
HIGHS 77-82. WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...J  CHONKA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090729.TAYLO.01/GJT