FNAK79 PAFG 311640
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK 285
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
840 AM AKDT FRI JUL 31 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2110 AKDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR STRONG WIND TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT CENTERED OVER THE YUKON
TERRITORY IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SLOWLY EAST THROUGH SATURDAY.
WINDS ALOFT AT LOWER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY ALLOWING SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING
ALOFT IS EXPECTED BEGIN TO REBUILD TUESDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY
A TREND TO WARMER TEMPERATURES.

STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE ALASKA RANGE IS EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TEMPERATURES AND WIND SPEEDS THIS MORNING. EXPECT
FREQUENT GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A MORE
WESTERLY DIRECTION ONCE THE UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES FURTHER
NORTH TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. FREQUENT
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING
                    TO WEST 5-10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 600-1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5-10 MPH.

.SATURDAY

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5-10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOW 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS 75 TO 80.
SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 10 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...WILLIE BRANSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090730.BEARC.01/AFG