FNUS74 KEPZ 301810
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TRIGGER...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1210 PM MDT THU JUL 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1123 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...

...VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA SHAFTS AND SIGNIFICANT
CLOUD BUILD-UPS...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE WEST COAST...AND OVER NORTHERN NEW
MEXICO...WILL STEER MORE DRY WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA...WHILE
CONTINUING TO BRING UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE
BURN SITE THROUGH AT LEAST WEEKS END.  AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOO
OR EARLY THIS EVENING...AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING AROUND THE RIDGE
OVER WESTERN HIGH PLAINS...SENDS A TRICKLE OF MOISTURE OVER BURN SITE FROM
THE EAST TODAY. RECYCLED MOISTURE FROM ANY STORMS TODAY...MAY HELP TRIGGER
ISOLATED ACTIVITY OVER BURN SITE AGAIN FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) REST OF THE MORNING
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2 TO 5 EARLY AFTERNOON...INCREASING AND SHIFTING
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT)
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 1 TO 4 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING NORTH-NORTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...EMILY CAMMACK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090730.TRIGG.01/EPZ