FNUS76 KMFR 302128
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD TOP...KLAMATH FALLS FIRE CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
228 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1356 PDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
CLOUD BUILD-UPS IN THE AREA ARE EXPECTED TO RESULT IN SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF THE FIRE AREA. AN ISOLATED
STORM MAY OCCUR IN THE FIRE AREA...HOWEVER...AND THIS WOULD RESULT
IN GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS. ON FRIDAY WINDS LOOK LIGHTER. FLOW BECOMING
MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WILL INCREASE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES IN THE FIRE
AREA...ESPECIALLY LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. THE LOW
OFFSHORE WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
                    MAINLY TO THE EAST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST UPSLOPE 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS 6-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST UPSLOPE 9-18 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-24 MPH.
                    ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS IN AND NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...MAINLY
                    TO THE EAST.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-79 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST UPSLOPE 2-4 WITH GUSTS TO 6 MPH EARLY
                    TO MID EVENING...THEN BECOMING CALM AND
                    THEN DOWNSLOPE NE 1-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH DIMINISHING AND
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-17 MPH THEN
                    DIMINISHING AND BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 MPH.


.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING UPSLOPE SW 2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 6 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH MID-LATE MORNING...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH TO THE RIDGE AND THEN SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH
                    ABOVE THE RIDGE.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE SW 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-18 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...CARRIE WELCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090730.BALDT.01/MFR