FNUS76 KMFR 302008
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNT PEAK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
108 PM PDT THU JUL 30 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1238 PDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING AND VERY DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY GENERALLY EAST OF THE FIRE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS SOME CONCERN FOR WINDS IN THE FIRE AREA THE NEXT
TWO AFTERNOON...AS IT APPEARS THERE IS A PASS NEAR 2600 FEET IN THE
FIRE AREA. AFTERNOON WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH THIS PASS
FROM THE WEST...WHERE THEY WILL BE ENHANCED. THE TIMING OF THIS AFTERNOON
WIND IS A BIT UNCERTAIN...BUT MID AFTERNOON IS MOST LIKELY. ON FRIDAY
THUNDERSTORMS PROBABILITIES ARE HIGHER FOR THE FIRE AREA...MORESO
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS AN IMPULSE COMES NORTHWARD FROM
CALIFORNIA.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....96-101.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH...EXCEPT BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AND UPSLOPE 3-6 MPH AROUND
                    2600 FEET AGL FROM THE PASS UPWARD.
CWR.................3 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST UPSLOPE 10-20 MPH FROM THE
                    PASS UPWARD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....AFTERNOON WIND DIMINISHING DURING THE EVENING
                    AND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-3 MPH.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........AFTERNOON WIND DIMINISHING DURING THE EVENING
                    AND THEN BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-99.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
                    WIND THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST UPSLOPE
                    3-7 MPH AROUND 2600 FT AGL FROM THE PASS UPWARD.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST UPSLOPE 12-22 MPH FROM THE
                    PASS UPWARD. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090730.BURNT.01/MFR