FNUS76 KMFR 310723
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNT PEAK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1223 AM PDT FRI JUL 31 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2339 PDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION... AS A PACIFIC LOW APPOACHES THE COAST...FRIDAY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME SOUTH AND SOUTHEASTERLY.
THIS IS WILL SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDRSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD FROM THE
CASCADE CREST AND SISKIYOUS OVER THE WESTERN CASCADE FOOTHILLS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THE THUNDERSTORM PATTERN IS
MORE FAVORED  FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHER CONFIDENCE OF
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA ON THE WEEKEND.
INCREASING SOUTH FLOW OVER THE WEEKEND MEANS THAT STORMS WILL
MOVE FASTER AND LIKELY PRODUCE MORE GUSTY WIND WHERE THEY OCCUR. THE
LOW MAY SHIFT NORTHWARD A LITTLE EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT CONFIDENCE IS
LOW AT THIS TIME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST WIND
                    3 TO 6 MPH AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WIND BECOMING WEST 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-70.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0 TO 1 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT
                    WIND. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE WIND 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING WEST 2 TO 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090730.BURNT.03/MFR