FNUS72 KMHX 301426 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR CAROLINA BAY FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1026 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1010 EDT ON JULY 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE PERIOD. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE W OF THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DISSIPATE NW OF THE AREA SATURDAY. A TROUGH WILL REFORM W OF THE AREA SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH....INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........25 29 30 31 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TEMP............85 87 88 88 RH..............77 68 63 65 20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 8 S 10 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 18 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........32 33 53 55 56 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TEMP............86 83 81 79 78 78 RH..............68 77 85 91 91 88 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........65 68 68 67 67 67 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 79 83 87 88 88 RH..............90 88 77 68 66 66 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...FREDERICK REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20090730.CAROL.01/MHX