FNAK79 PAFG 011426
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUFF CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
626 AM AKDT SAT AUG 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2229 AKDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE AREA TODAY. A WEST WIND WILL
PICK UP THIS MORNING WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE
LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS WILL
BE NEAR THE TOP ELEVATION. THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE RIDGE BUILDS INTO
THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE COOLER IN THE WAKE OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT THAT HAS PUSHED WELL EAST OF THE FIRE.
GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.
MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE BASED INVERSIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT
COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH THE TOP OF THE INVERSION NEAR 500 FT AGL.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO REBUILD ACROSS
THE FIRE WEATHER NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL BRING A RETURN TO VERY
WARM WEATHER AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-90 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED SHOWER
                    POSSIBLE IN THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH. THE STRONGEST
                    GUSTS LIKELY AT THE TOP ELEVATION.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (15-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS DIMINISHING TO 3 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    POSSIBLE AT THE TOP ELEVATION UNTIL 2100.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL IN A MODERATE SURFACE
                    INVERSION AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE IN DIRECTION 2 TO
                    5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS NEAR 50. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LITTLE
REQUESTED BY...ADAM KOHLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090731.BLUFF.02/AFG