FNAK79 PAFG 011430
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK ONE-12 MILE BLUFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
630 AM AKDT SAT AUG 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2230 AKDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD TOWARD THE AREA TODAY. A WEST WIND WILL
PICK UP THIS MORNING WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 15 TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE
LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO
DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE COOLER IN THE
WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT HAS PUSHED WELL EAST OF THE FIRE.
GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND.
MODERATELY STRONG SURFACE BASED INVERSIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT
COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH THE TOP OF THE INVERSION NEAR 500 FT AGL.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO REBUILD ACROSS
THE FIRE WEATHER NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL BRING A RETURN TO VERY
WARM WEATHER AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-85 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED SHOWER
                    POSSIBLE IN THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE.
                    THE WIND SHOULD DIMINISH TO 5 TO 8 MPH BY 1800.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MAINLY CLEAR (20-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH DIMINISHING TO 2 TO 5 MPH
                    BY 2100.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 300 TO 500 FT AGL IN A MODERATE SURFACE
                    BASED INVERSION AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (30-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE IN DIRECTION 2 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000-10000 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH WINDS TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS NEAR 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS NEAR 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LITTLE
REQUESTED BY...JEN NORTHWAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090731.LITTL.02/AFG