FNUS74 KEPZ 311844
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ALLIE...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1244 PM MDT FRI JUL 31 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1211 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS...

...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR VIRGA SHAFTS
AND SIGNIFICANT CLOUD BUILD-UPS...


.DISCUSSION...
AREA WILL BE UNDER SOME INFLUENCE OF WEST COAST HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TODAY.
AS A RESULT...MAINLY ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED
THIS AFTERNOON FOR BURN SITE.  ON SATURDAY...ANOTHER MINOR DISTURBANCE
MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS...WILL SEND A WEAK BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT
TOWARDS BURN SITE FROM THE EAST-NORTHEAST.  APPROACH OF FRONT WILL BRING
INCREASED ACTIVITY BEGINNING EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND WIND SHIFT FROM
THE EAST-NORTHEAST SATURDAY. ASIDE FROM WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RAPID RUNOFF AND HAIL ARE THE
MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY MID AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING 2 TO 6 MPH BY MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LOCAL DRAINAGES DEVELOPING TOWARDS MIDNIGHT...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH EARLY...SHIFTING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...EMILY CAMMACK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090731.ALLIE.02/EPZ