FNUS72 KMHX 311356 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR CAROLINA BAY FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 956 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0949 EDT ON JULY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... EXPECTING SEA BREEZE ACTIVITY TO INITIATE NEAR THE COAST BY EARLY AFTERNOON. PIEDMONT TROUGH TO THE WEST WILL HELP INITIATE ACTIVITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY DOWNPOURS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-5200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........29 47 52 58 62 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 89 91 91 90 RH..............80 69 62 60 64 20 FT WIND......SW 9 SW 10 SW 10 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 30 30 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1300-1900 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........62 62 62 64 65 71 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............89 84 82 80 79 78 RH..............64 74 79 85 85 88 20 FT WIND......S 11 S 10 SW 10 SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 25 20 20 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........79 85 83 80 78 80 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............77 78 81 84 85 85 RH..............90 88 79 72 70 70 20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...GOODALL REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20090731.CAROL.01/MHX