FNUS74 KEPZ 011800 FWSEPZ FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COUGAR...GNF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 1200 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2009 FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0918 MDT ON AUGUST 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND A WEAK FRONT FROM THE NORTHEAST...COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING...WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONGER AND MORE NUMEROUS STORMS ARE LIKELY EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE. LOCATIONS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE...INCLUDING THE BURN SITE...WILL HAVE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH MONDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH HUMIDITY FALLING TO THE LOW AND MIDDLE TEENS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................30 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87. MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................20 PERCENT BEFORE MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57. MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT WITH DRAINAGE WINDS AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89. MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...PARK REQUESTED BY...EMILY CAMMACK REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU .TAG 20090801.COUGA.01/EPZ