FNUS74 KEPZ 011748
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TRIGGER...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1148 AM MDT SAT AUG 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0857 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...UPDATED TO INCREASE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE...

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO
AND A WEAK FRONT FROM THE NORTHEAST...COMBINED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING...WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. STRONGER AND MORE NUMEROUS STORMS ARE LIKELY EAST
OF THE RIO GRANDE. LOCATIONS WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE...INCLUDING
THE BURN SITE...WILL HAVE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DIMINISH MONDAY INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH HUMIDITY FALLING TO THE LOW AND
MIDDLE TEENS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING EAST TO SOUTHEAST
                    AT 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...EMILY CAMMACK
REASON FOR REQUEST...WFU
.TAG 20090801.TRIGG.01/EPZ