FNUS76 KMFR 011751
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNT PEAK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1051 AM PDT SAT AUG 1 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE NORTHWESTWARD THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT AN
IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN SOME SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA...BUT CONFIDENCE IS ONLY MODERATE WITH
THIS. ON SUNDAY THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE EVEN MORE MOIST. THUS...
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED...AS WELL AS INCREASED CLOUD COVER
AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-100.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WIND 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND UPSLOPE
                    2-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING S 10-15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WIND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 0-2 MPH MID TO LATE
                    EVENING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 1-3 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL LATE EVENING
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT DOWNSLOPE NORTH 0-5 MPH
                    LATE EVENING.
CWR.................19 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.


.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE SW 1-3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN WEST
                    1-3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 8300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT
                    5-10 MPH...THEN WEST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...KRISTINA SHEPPARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090801.BURNT.01/MFR