FNAK79 PAFG 031325
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR MINTO FLATS SOUTH  SW
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
525 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2135 AKDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM AKDT MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE FIRE
TODAY...AND WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST OF THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON SOUTH OF THE FIRE. THIS LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL SHIFT
A LITTLE NORTHWARD TUESDAY. SOUTHERLY GAP WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP
IN THE ALASKA RANGE PASSES EARLY THIS EVENING...GRADUALLY
INCREASING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH DRIFTS
NORTHWARD AND INTENSIFIES SOME. THIS WILL CAUSE EAST WINDS AT
THE FIRE TO SHIFT INTO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT.
THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL LIKELY ONLY BE FAIR TO GOOD
TUESDAY NIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-75 PERCENT) IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-40 PERCENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AN INVERSION TO 800 TO 1200 FT AGL WILL BREAK BY
                    1000 WITH MIXING HEIGHTS RISING TO 8000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST TO SOUTHEAST 10-20 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 7-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL IN EARLY EVENING LOWERING TO
                    AROUND 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 MPH IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7-10 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 12-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL EARLY MORNING INCREASING TO 9000
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7-15 MPH IN THE MORNING. SOUTH
                    10-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...
SUNNY. LOWS 45 TO 50. HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 45 TO 50.
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5
TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
 PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS 45 TO 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. VARIABLE WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER/BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...FV COLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090802.MINTO.02/AFG