FNUS75 KGJT 022236
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRING CREEK...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
436 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1621 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL
SUNSET...THAT WOULD PRODUCE MORE WIND THAN SHOWERS. OTHERWISE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN BUILDS OVERHEAD BY MONDAY.
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AND EXPECT THE WARMING
TREND TO CONTINUE. MARGINAL MOISTURE AND STRONG SURFACE HEATING
WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE SITE. FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO
SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY. MOISTURE AND CHANCES OF LATE DAY SHOWERS
WILL INCREASE INTO WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS ON
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
    25 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 4 MPH BY
    2200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY 2200 (5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING FROM 6300 FT AGL TO NEAR OR BELOW
    1000 FEET BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH THROUGH 2200...THEN
    DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING WEST 7 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
    GUSTS TO 18 MPH BY 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 14000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 MPH BY 1000.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...JIM MICHELS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090802.SPRIN.01/GJT