FNAK79 PAFG 041459
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 284 ZITZIANA- RAWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
659 AM AKDT TUE AUG 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2345 AKDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH HOT AND DRY WEATHER.  THE RIDGE BEGINS TO
SHIFT TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE LATE IN THE WEEK...BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN VERY WARM. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL DROP TO AROUND 15 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH POOR RECOVERIES
AT MID-SLOPE TONIGHT. THE WIND WILL TURN INTO THE SOUTH LATE THIS
EVENING IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SOME LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS AS A LOW LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPS NORTH
OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND ALLOWS A DRY FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO PUSH
ACROSS THE FIRE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING INTO THE EAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 TO 1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT...BUT 40 TO 45 PCT AT MID-SLOPE.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    4 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING AND AGAIN TOWARD MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 2000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    SHIFTING INTO THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND DIMINISHING TO
                    4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...LITTLE
REQUESTED BY...KIP SHIELDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090803.284ZI.02/AFG