FNAK79 PAFG 031631
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 425 WOOD RIVER 1...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
831 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0754 AKDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT AKDT
TUESDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...HEIGHTS WILL BE ON THE RISE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
SIGNALING A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH WIDESPREAD
MINIMUM RH IN THE TEENS. MAX TEMPS REACHING NEAR 90 AGAIN ON TUESDAY
AND INTO THE UPPER 80S ON WEDNESDAY. RED FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY AND
TUESDAY FOR LOW HUMIDITY. DRIEST AIR WILL BE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT
ON TUESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE MORE MARGINAL TODAY.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TODAY BUT WILL INCREASE FROM THE EAST TONIGHT TO
AROUND 10 TO 18 MPH. GAP FLOW EXPECTED TO SET UP THROUGH THE ALASKA
RANGE ON TUESDAY...WINDS COULD BECOME GUSTY AND ERRATIC TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

A GLIMMER OF HOPE...LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW HEIGHTS FALLING BELOW
NORMAL NEXT WEEK WITH A POSSIBLE TRANSITION TO NORMAL COOL WET AND
RAINY AUGUST WEATHER...BUT THERE WILL BE SOME VERY HOT AND DRY
DAYS TO GET THROUGH BEFORE THEN WITH THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR LOW HUMIDITY ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON GUSTING TO 22 MPH IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOW 51. HIGH 84. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 54. HIGH 78. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 50. HIGH 75. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090803.425WO.01/AFG