FNAK79 PAFG 040022
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK 285...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
422 PM AKDT MON AUG 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1552 AKDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM AKDT TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER EASTERN INTERIOR ALASKA. THE VERY
WARM AIRMASS WILL PRODUCE VERY LOW RHS TUESDAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE FIRE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT...TURNING WINDS SOUTHWESTERLY. MIN
RHS WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK TROUGH ALOFT MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA...WHICH MIGHT TOUCH OFF A FEW SHOWERS IN THE AREA. HOWEVER...NO CHANGE
IN THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS SEEN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT VALLEYS...45 PERCENT MID-SLOPES.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER
                    11PM.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...THOMAN
REQUESTED BY...WILLIE BRANSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090803.BEARC.01/AFG