FNAK79 PAFG 031725
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK  458...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
925 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0808 AKDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT TUESDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...SHORT WAVE EXITING THE AREA BY THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG
RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TODAY. NEAR RECORD HIGH HEIGHTS
ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AS WELL AS NEAR RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES.

RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WARNING
WILL MOST LIKELY BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY. RED FLAG WILL BE
MARGINAL TODAY...MINIMUM RHS IN THE TEENS ARE EXPECTED BUT IT IS
UNCLEAR WHETHER THE DRY AIR WILL ADVECT IN DURING THE MAX DAYTIME
HEAT. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE MUCH MORE SEVERE.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TODAY...MODERATE EASTERLIES WILL PICK UP TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY...WHERE THEY
WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46.
MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH GUSTING TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 12 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. DRY. LOW 55. HIGH 87. EAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 56. HIGH 85. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 50. HIGH 81. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...KAY KUDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090803.BIGCR.01/AFG