FNAK79 PAFG 040603
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CREEK  458...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1003 PM AKDT MON AUG 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2146 AKDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THE WEAK TROUGH ALOFT THAT MOVED ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY IS EXITING
OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TUESDAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL WARM THE AIRMASS TO THE POINT THAT VERY
LOW RHS ARE LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. NO FUNDAMENTAL CHANGE IN
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR A WEEK OR MORE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10 PERCENT). SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS NEAR 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 6 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...THOMAN
REQUESTED BY...KAY KUDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090803.BIGCR.02/AFG