FNAK79 PAFG 031648
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK SLOUGH  347...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
848 AM AKDT MON AUG 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0815 AKDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT TUESDAY NIGHT FOR LOW HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG RIDGING BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHEAST TODAY.
NEAR RECORD HIGH HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AS
WELL AS NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND VERY LOW HUMIDITIES.

RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WARNING
WILL MOST LIKELY BE EXTENDED INTO WEDNESDAY. RED FLAG WILL BE
MARGINAL TODAY...MINIMUM RHS IN THE TEENS ARE EXPECTED BUT IT IS
UNCLEAR WHETHER THE DRY AIR WILL ADVECT IN DURING THE MAX DAYTIME
HEAT. TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE MUCH MORE SEVERE.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TODAY...MODERATE EASTERLIES WILL PICK UP TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE UNTIL THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY...WHERE THEY
WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 4 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). SMOKY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. DRY. LOW 52. HIGH 88. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. DRY. LOW 55. HIGH 88. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 54. HIGH 80. NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090803.ROCKS.01/AFG