FNUS75 KGJT 030329
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TAYLOR CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
929 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN BUILDS OVERHEAD
TODAY. ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AND EXPECT THE
WARMING TREND TO CONTINUE. MARGINAL MOISTURE AND STRONG SURFACE
HEATING WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN. THE FLOW ALOFT WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST ON MONDAY.
MOISTURE AND CHANCES OF LATE-DAY SHOWERS WILL INCREASE INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 0800...THEN
    INCREASING TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH BY 1200.
    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 14000 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH THROUGH 0900...THEN BECOMING
    WEST 13 MPH BY 1100.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8100 KNOT-FT).

.OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 0800...THEN
    INCREASING TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH BY 1200.
    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 12500 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING WEST 10 MPH BY 1100.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY SPETTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090803.TAYLO.01/GJT