FNUS75 KGJT 031840
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILD COW...CRAIG DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1240 PM MDT MON AUG 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1200 MDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE PATTERN REMAINS THE SAME...WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE STRETCHED FROM NEW MEXICO TO OREGON. THERE IS SOME MID-
LEVEL MOISTURE THAT MAY PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON VIRGA AND LOCAL
OUTFLOW WINDS...PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS.
TUESDAY...AS THE RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD...LIGHTER GRADIENT WINDS ARE
ABOUT THE ONLY CHANGE. THEN SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY...AND COMBINES WITH INCREASED MOISTURE ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS A PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHES TOWARDS THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES.

***ANY FORECAST FEEDBACK YOU CAN GIVE WOULD BE APPRECIATED***

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-97 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 3-8 MPH INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX OF 14000 FT AGL AROUND 1600.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 1-4 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MIN OF 5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED AFTERNOON BUILDUPS
                    WITH VIRGA POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 1-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE. AFTER 1200 SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR AFTERNOON VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR. EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN RISING TO
                    14000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DALE BECKERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090803.WILDC.01/GJT