FNUS72 KMLB 030918
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTTSMOOR UNITS 3 4 5...BREVARD COUNTY EEL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
518 AM EDT MON AUG 3 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA TODAY. SEA BREEZE WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON
AND MOVE SLOWLY WEST OF THE BURN SITE WITH SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5
MPH SWITCHING TO THE SOUTHEAST AND INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH.
ISOLATED SHOWER AND STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE AS SEA
BREEZE INITIALLY DEVELOPS WITH MORE SCATTERED COVERAGE EXPECTED
OVER INTERIOR FLORIDA NEAR AND JUST EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 4
CORRIDOR WHERE SEA BREEZE COLLISION IS MOST LIKELY. WEAK WESTERLY
STEERING FLOW MAY BE ABLE TO PUSH A FEW OF THESE STORMS BACK
TOWARD THE COASTLINE FROM THE CAPE NORTHWARD TOWARDS SUNSET.
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM THESE LATE DAY STORMS COULD RESULT IN
VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS OVER THE AREA.

WITH STORMS ENDING IN THE EVENING AND LOWER CLOUD COVER AND
LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...PATCHY FOG IS
POSSIBLE NEAR THE BURN SITE. THIS WOULD MOST LIKELY OCCUR LATE IN
THE NIGHT AND WOULD QUICKLY DISSIPATE SOON AFTER SUNRISE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....40.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............81  84  86  87  88  90  90  89  89  87  84  81
RH..............79  72  65  63  61  58  58  60  61  65  72  79
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   7   7   7   10  10  10  9   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5               15  15  15  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............6.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...VANDERBLEEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20090803.SCOTT.01/MLB