FNAK79 PAFG 041650
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK 285...BLM/ALASKA FIRE SERVICE UYTD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
850 AM AKDT TUE AUG 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0829 AKDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD ACROSS THE FIRE
TODAY. THIS WILL BRING MUCH WARMER AND DRYER WEATHER TO THE AREA.
A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO AROUND
15 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY
FAIR RH RECOVERIES AT NIGHT. RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR LOW HUMIDITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTING IN THE AFTERNOON
                    15 TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT...BUT 40 TO 45 PERCENT AT MID-SLOPE.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 2000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO WEST 8 TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...LITTLE
REQUESTED BY...AMBER SUNDERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090804.BEARC.01/AFG