FNAK79 PAFG 050412
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARD LUCK CREEK...FAIRBANKS AREA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
812 PM AKDT TUE AUG 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1942 AKDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG RIDGE ALOFT OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR WILL PERSIST BUT WEAKEN THROUGH
FRIDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE FIRE AREA WEDNESDAY TURNING THE
WINDS BUT ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLING THE AIRMASS. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IN BRISTOL BAY MOVES EASTWARD.
HOWEVER...THE RIDGE ALOFT CONTINUES TO HOLD OVER EASTERN INTERIOR ALASKA AND WILL
REBUILD OVER THE FIRE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE IS NO FUNDAMENTAL CHANGE
IN THE LARGE SCALE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED BEFORE NEXT WEEK AT THE EARLIEST.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SMOKE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. SMOKE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...THOMAN
REQUESTED BY...KELLY CLEMONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090804.HARDL.02/AFG