FNUS75 KGJT 041729
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALLRED...CRAIG DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1129 AM MDT TUE AUG 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1051 MDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO MONDAY. THE
RIDGE AXIS REMAINS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE PRODUCING A
LIGHT WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
BE LIMITED TO THE SOUTHERN CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TODAY. THE SURFACE-
BASED INVERSION WILL BEGIN TO SET UP JUST BEFORE SUNSET WITH POOR RH
RECOVERY. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES ON WEDNESDAY...FOR SOME
INCREASED POTENTIAL OF DRY LATE-DAY STORMS. CRITICAL FIRE DAYS ARE
THURSDAY (INCREASED GRADIENT WINDS) AND FRIDAY (STRONG WINDS AND
FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE).

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    8-12 MPH AFTER 1300 WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1300.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........36-41%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE FAVORING SOUTHEAST-SOUTHWEST 1-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MIN OF 6000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST  20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED AFTERNOON BUILDUPS
                    POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    2-5 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS NEAR AFTERNOON
                    VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    (134300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900 INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL
                    BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DALE BECKERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090804.ALLRE.01/GJT