FNUS75 KGJT 050155
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRADFIELD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
755 PM MDT TUE AUG 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1855 MDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE REMAINS STRONG TONIGHT WITH THE AXIS OVER HEAD OR JUST
EAST OF THE BURN SITE. THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION WILL SET UP
JUST BEFORE SUNSET WITH REDUCED RH RECOVERY. MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
INCREASES ON WEDNESDAY INCREASING THE POTENTIAL OF DRY LATE DAY
STORMS AND ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS. CRITICAL FIRE DAYS ARE THURSDAY
WITH INCREASED GRADIENT WINDS AND FRIDAY WITH STRONG WINDS AND
FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD DECREASING TO POOR
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11100 FT DECREASING TO 1000 FT IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS 18 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT INCREASING TO 15300 FT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10
                    MPH AFTER 1100.

$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...LANCE MARTIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090804.BRADF.01/GJT