FNUS76 KMFR 042206
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WELL...OR-LAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
306 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1430 PDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF NO THUNDERSTORMS AT THE FIRE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL BE A BIT GUSTY. ON WEDNESDAY
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFFSHORE WILL BEGIN MOVING ONTO THE COAST.
THIS WILL DEVELOP AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER OR JUST
EAST OF THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON. INCREASED SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE
EXPECTED AT THE FIRE. ANY THUNDERSTORM WOULD LIKELY PRODUCE STRONG
WIND GUSTS.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH AND EAST
                    OF THE AREA IN DESCHUTES AND HARNEY COUNTIES. A
                    10 PERCENT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM AT THE FIRE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-28 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS 6-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 10000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH.
CWR.................1 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....AFTERNOON SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS DIMINISHING
                    AND THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST DOWNSLOPE 0-3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........AFTERNOON MIXING WINDS DIMINISHING AND THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
CWR.................7 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND
                    EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 6-10 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 10-15 MPH. STRONG...GUSTY...AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-10000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 12-25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAVEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090804.WELL_.02/MFR