FNUS76 KMFR 050431
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WELL...OR-LAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
931 PM PDT TUE AUG 4 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2040 PDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF OF THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL
FINALLY BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND LATE WEDNESDAY. LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA. THE LOW WILL MOVE INLAND
ON THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED OVER THE AREA. ALSO WILL SEE SOME GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
                    IN THE MID AFTERNOON BECOMING SCATTERED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6
                    MPH MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING THEN TO 8500-10000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.
CWR.................14 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH IN THE MID AND LATE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST...DECREASING TO
                    1 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 500-1200
                     FT AGL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH TO IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON THEN INCREASING TO
                    5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN
                     THE LATE MORNING THEN INCREASING TO 6000-7000 FT AGL
                     IN THE AFTERNOON
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH
                     IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................22 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH
                    WITH GUST TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED  NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAVEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090804.WELL_.03/MFR