FNAK79 PAFG 051501
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK 285
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
701 AM AKDT WED AUG 5 2009

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0046 AKDT ON AUGUST 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE THROUGH THURSDAY.
AS THE RIDGE LIFTS TO THE NORTH IT WILL ALLOW SOME MOISTURE TO WORK
TOWARDS THE FIRE. THIS WILL LEAD TO THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
THIS AFTERNOON AND AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS WILL LEAD TO COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF SMOKE...DENSE AT TIMES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
                    AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 1500 TO 2000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
                    AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOW 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LITTLE
REQUESTED BY...WILLIE BRANSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20090805.BEARC.01/AFG